BCG波士顿咨询：2026年放眼明日之外：2050年四大未来世界图景（英文版）.pdf

BCG波士顿咨询：2026年放眼明日之外：2050年四大未来世界图景（英文版）。For leaders balancing a challenging present with near-term uncertainty, the world of 2050 can seem remote. But considering the future can reveal lessons for today and provide pathways to long-term competitive advantage. The decisions leaders make over the next 5 years will shape the next 25. In this report, we set out four distinct scenarios for 2050 that push boundaries but remain plausible. Unlike many scenario exercises, which are often limited to speculative, “what if” questions, our four possibilities are based on a detailed quantitative analysis of a hundred megatrends and a century of historical data, as well as dozens of interviews with global experts on topics ranging from macroeconomics to space engineering.